Methodology and Results from the 2012 National Projections: 2012-2060

David M. Armstrong, U.S. Census Bureau

This paper reports the methodology and results of the 2012 National Projections of the U.S. resident population. The projections were produced using a cohort-component method in which the components of population change were projected for each birth cohort. Changes in the racial and ethnic composition of the population will be evaluated along with variation in the dependency ratios and age structure. The timing of the majority-minority crossover, the year in which the non-Hispanic White alone population is projected to become the numerical minority, will also be examined for each series.

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Presented in Session 118: Population Projections